UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs Barao

1,978

CageRank

WINNER
Barao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Barao
WILL WIN

2,194

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Barao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renan
Barao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barao Stephens
Significant Strikes67
Barao's good striking offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Barao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barao is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barao has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Barao
Significant Strikes59
Stephens's average striking offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Stephens's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barao 8.9
fighter Stephens 8.5
Great striking by Barao
36 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
85 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Faber
104 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Jorgensen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barao 8.0
fighter Stephens 8.0
Great takedowns by Barao
4 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
6 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Escovedo
1 takedown Jun 20, 2010 vs Leone

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barao 7.7
fighter Stephens 8.2
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barao 8.5
fighter Stephens 6.5
Great submissions by Barao
Round 4 Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Cariaso

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barao 8.6
fighter Stephens 8.0
Fast finishes by Barao
335 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
1137 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
249 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 29, 2016UFC Fight Night 88
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barao
legend Stephens
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus