UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs Holloway

1,978

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 180 cm vs 177 cm Almost the same
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Max Holloway
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 25 years vs 30 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Holloway
Significant Strikes77
Stephens's average striking offense is matched by Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Stephens's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Holloway Stephens
Significant Strikes57
Holloway's average striking offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Stephens 8.5
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by Holloway
120 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs Garcia
29 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
118 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Schilling

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by Stephens
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
6 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Payan
3 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Holloway
Round 3 Apr 18, 2015 vs Swanson
Round 3 Apr 26, 2014 vs Fili

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Holloway
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
holloway holloway, he's the man, if he can't do it then mcgregor can. Holloway is going to kill stepheny
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