UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs Erdman

1,978

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,483

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 6.9 Around 35% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.4 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Justin Erdman
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Erdman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Erdman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Erdman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Erdman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Erdman is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Erdman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Erdman 7.2
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Erdman 7.4
Great submissions by Erdman
Round 3 Jan 12, 2005 vs Carstens

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Erdman 7.0
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,5501,450
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Erdman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus