UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Souza

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 187 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 186 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 7:09, how much damage will he do? Souza Brunson
Significant Strikes35
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:09
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:09
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 7:09, how much damage will he do? Brunson Souza
Significant Strikes15
Brunson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:09
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brunson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Brunson 8.2
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Brunson 8.5
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Brunson
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Babcock
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Round 1 Feb 27, 2010 vs Tavares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 SUB
1,8612,059
1,8372,083
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Brunson
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Souza vs Weidman
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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