UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Sayers

1,862

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Brunson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Brunson
WILL WIN

1,715

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Lumumba Sayers
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sayers’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 8:17, how much damage will he do? Brunson Sayers
Significant Strikes29
Brunson's average striking offense is matched by Sayers's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brunson's average takedown offense is matched by Sayers's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sayers on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lumumba
Sayers
In 8:17, how much damage will he do? Sayers Brunson
Significant Strikes33
Sayers's average striking offense is matched by Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sayers's good takedown offense is matched by Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:17
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sayers is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Sayers is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sayers is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brunson 8.2
fighter Sayers 8.4
Great striking by Sayers
10 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
4 strikes Nov 18, 2011 vs Britt

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brunson 8.5
fighter Sayers 8.8
Great takedowns by Sayers
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Sayers 7.1
Great knockouts by Brunson
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Babcock
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Round 1 Feb 27, 2010 vs Tavares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Sayers 7.8
Great submissions by Sayers
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Guthrie
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Berg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brunson 8.4
fighter Sayers 8.4
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,8521,728
1,8851,695
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brunson
legend Sayers
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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