UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Herman

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 11:52, how much damage will he do? Herman Brunson
Significant Strikes52
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Herman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 11:52, how much damage will he do? Brunson Herman
Significant Strikes49
Brunson's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brunson's average takedown offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Brunson 8.2
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Brunson 8.5
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Brunson
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Babcock
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Round 1 Feb 27, 2010 vs Tavares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2015UFC 183
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Brunson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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