UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Machida

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Machida

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
85% chance Machida
WILL WIN

2,164

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.7 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Machida Brunson
Significant Strikes57
Machida's good striking offense may be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Brunson Machida
Significant Strikes16
Brunson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brunson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Machida 8.7
fighter Brunson 8.2
Great striking by Machida
27 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Henderson
35 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Rua
28 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Evans

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Machida 8.0
fighter Brunson 8.5
Great takedowns by Brunson
4 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
5 takedowns Nov 18, 2011 vs James

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Machida 8.6
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Machida
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
Round 2 May 23, 2009 vs Evans
Round 1 Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Machida 6.8
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 May 22, 2010 vs Bryant

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Machida 8.2
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 28, 2017UFC Fight Night 119
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Machida
legend Brunson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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