UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Rockhold

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Rockhold

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Rockhold
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Longer reach 198 cm vs 196 cm Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 6:43, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Brunson
Significant Strikes38
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:43
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:43
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 6:43, how much damage will he do? Brunson Rockhold
Significant Strikes20
Brunson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:43
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brunson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rockhold 9.1
fighter Brunson 8.2
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rockhold 7.4
fighter Brunson 8.5
Great takedowns by Brunson
4 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
5 takedowns Nov 18, 2011 vs James

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rockhold 7.9
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rockhold 8.6
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rockhold 9.5
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rockhold
legend Brunson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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