UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Whittaker

1,862

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Brunson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Brunson
WILL WIN

1,824

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 187 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Robert Whittaker
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 26 years vs 33 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Whittaker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brunson Whittaker
Significant Strikes73
Brunson's average striking offense may be a factor against Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brunson's average takedown offense is matched by Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Whittaker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robert
Whittaker
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Whittaker Brunson
Significant Strikes72
Whittaker's good striking offense may be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Whittaker's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Whittaker has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Whittaker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Whittaker is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brunson 8.2
fighter Whittaker 8.7
Great striking by Whittaker
53 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Smith
83 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Scott

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brunson 8.5
fighter Whittaker 8.0
Great takedowns by Brunson
4 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
5 takedowns Nov 18, 2011 vs James

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Whittaker 7.8
Great knockouts by Whittaker
Round 3 May 25, 2013 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 23, 2012 vs Spooner
Round 2 Dec 09, 2011 vs Bone

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Whittaker 7.3
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Brower

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brunson 8.4
fighter Whittaker 7.6
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 26, 2016UFC Fight Night 101
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brunson
legend Whittaker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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