UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Romero

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Romero

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Romero
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Slightly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 11:51, how much damage will he do? Romero Brunson
Significant Strikes60
Romero's good striking offense may be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:51
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Romero's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 11:51, how much damage will he do? Brunson Romero
Significant Strikes44
Brunson's average striking offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:51
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brunson's average takedown offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Romero 8.8
fighter Brunson 8.2
Great striking by Romero
60 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
50 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
12 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Romero 7.9
fighter Brunson 8.5
Great takedowns by Brunson
4 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
5 takedowns Nov 18, 2011 vs James

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Romero 9.0
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Romero
Round 3 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
Round 3 Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Romero 6.6
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Brower

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Romero 8.1
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
R2 SUBX
1,9261,821
1,8621,886
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Romero
legend Brunson
Read More
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Romero vs Woodley
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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