UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Alvey

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Alvey

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Alvey
WILL WIN

1,987

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Alvey
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.2 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Alvey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Alvey
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvey has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alvey is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvey is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brunson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvey 9.1
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Alvey
Round 5 Oct 04, 2013 vs South
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs O'Malley
Round 4 Aug 01, 2009 vs Honneger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvey 6.2
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Brower

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvey 7.9
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 8, 2015UFC Fight Night 73
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvey
legend Brunson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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