UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Jotko

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Jotko

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Jotko
WILL WIN

1,914

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Krzysztof Jotko
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Jotko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Krzysztof
Jotko
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jotko Brunson
Significant Strikes56
Jotko's average striking offense is matched by Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jotko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jotko is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jotko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jotko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jotko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brunson Jotko
Significant Strikes55
Brunson's average striking offense is matched by Jotko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Brunson's average takedown offense is matched by Jotko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Brunson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jotko 8.2
fighter Brunson 8.2
Great striking by Jotko
17 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Santos

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jotko 8.5
fighter Brunson 8.5
Great takedowns by Brunson
4 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
5 takedowns Nov 18, 2011 vs James

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jotko 7.1
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great knockouts by Brunson
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Babcock
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Round 1 Feb 27, 2010 vs Tavares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jotko 6.8
fighter Brunson 7.6
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 May 22, 2010 vs Bryant

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jotko 7.3
fighter Brunson 8.4
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jotko
legend Brunson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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