UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brunson vs Tavares

1,862

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Brunson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
89% chance Brunson
WILL WIN

1,506

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Shawn Tavares
From what we can tell, Derek Brunson dominates Shawn Tavares in every way.
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tavares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Brunson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Brunson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Tavares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shawn
Tavares
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tavares is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tavares is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tavares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Tavares 7.2
Great knockouts by Brunson
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Babcock
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Round 1 Feb 27, 2010 vs Tavares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Tavares 7.1
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Brower

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brunson 8.4
fighter Tavares 7.5
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 27, 2010CFP - War on the Shore
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,5501,550
1,6001,500
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brunson
legend Tavares
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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