UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Saffiedine vs Stinson

2,085

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Saffiedine

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Saffiedine
WILL WIN

1,967

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tarec Saffiedine
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Tyler Stinson
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.7 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% taller
Much longer reach 192 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Saffiedine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stinson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tarec
Saffiedine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saffiedine Stinson
Significant Strikes89
Saffiedine's good striking offense may be a factor against Stinson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Saffiedine's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Stinson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saffiedine has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Stinson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saffiedine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyler
Stinson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stinson Saffiedine
Significant Strikes62
Stinson's average striking offense is matched by Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stinson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stinson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stinson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stinson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saffiedine 8.9
fighter Stinson 8.4
Great striking by Saffiedine
116 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Marquardt
67 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Bowling
46 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Stinson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saffiedine 6.7
fighter Stinson 9.2
Great knockouts by Stinson
Round 3 Jan 18, 2014 vs Araujo
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Pamplona
Round 1 Jan 29, 2011 vs Delanoit

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.1
fighter Stinson 7.1
Great submissions by Saffiedine
Round 1 May 30, 2009 vs Arellano
Round 1 Jun 27, 2008 vs Bondoc
Round 1 Jun 09, 2007 vs Grandin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saffiedine 7.4
fighter Stinson 8.9
Fast finishes by Stinson
743 seconds Jan 18, 2014 vs Araujo
15 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Pamplona
102 seconds Jun 17, 2010 vs Pecanha
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,8751,993
1,9421,927
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saffiedine
legend Stinson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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