UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sayers vs Smith

1,715

CageRank

WINNER
Smith

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Smith
WILL WIN

1,764

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Scott Smith
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 7.9 vs 7.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Lumumba Sayers
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.2 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.2 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sayers’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Smith
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? Smith Sayers
Significant Strikes30
Smith's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Sayers's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Smith's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sayers's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sayers on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lumumba
Sayers
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? Sayers Smith
Significant Strikes60
Sayers's average striking offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46
Average
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sayers's good takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sayers is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sayers has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Sayers is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Smith 8.0
fighter Sayers 8.4
Great striking by Sayers
10 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
4 strikes Nov 18, 2011 vs Britt

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Smith 7.2
fighter Sayers 8.8
Great takedowns by Sayers
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smith 8.5
fighter Sayers 7.1
Great knockouts by Smith
Round 3 Apr 11, 2009 vs Radach
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Martin
Round 2 Feb 16, 2008 vs Noke

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smith 6.2
fighter Sayers 7.8
Great submissions by Sayers
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Guthrie
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Berg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smith 8.0
fighter Sayers 8.4
Fast finishes by Sayers
94 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
28 seconds Nov 18, 2011 vs Britt
76 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Guthrie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,7541,790
1,8091,735
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smith
legend Sayers
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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