UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Preux vs Cavalcante

2,076

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

1,897

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rafael Cavalcante
Significantly heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cavalcante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 9:37, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Cavalcante
Significant Strikes57
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Cavalcante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:37
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cavalcante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cavalcante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
Cavalcante
In 9:37, how much damage will he do? Cavalcante St. Preux
Significant Strikes54
Cavalcante's excellent striking offense will dominate St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cavalcante's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cavalcante has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Cavalcante 9.0
Great striking by Cavalcante
16 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Pokrajac
39 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Lawal
14 strikes May 15, 2010 vs Britt

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Preux 8.0
fighter Cavalcante 7.9
Great takedowns by St. Preux
2 takedowns Aug 18, 2012 vs Cook
1 takedown Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach
1 takedown Nov 19, 2010 vs Britt

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Cavalcante 9.2
Great knockouts by Cavalcante
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Pokrajac
Round 3 Aug 21, 2010 vs Lawal
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Britt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Cavalcante 6.7
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Cavalcante 8.7
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 6, 2016UFC Fight Night 82
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Cavalcante
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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