UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Preux vs Cummins

2,076

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

1,787

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Patrick Cummins
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 5:21, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Cummins
Significant Strikes30
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Cummins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:21
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Cummins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cummins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Patrick
Cummins
In 5:21, how much damage will he do? Cummins St. Preux
Significant Strikes26
Cummins's good striking offense may be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:21
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cummins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummins is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cummins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cummins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Cummins 8.7
Great striking by St. Preux
6 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
47 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Villante
82 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Cummins 7.9
Great knockouts by St. Preux
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Cook
Round 1 Jul 24, 2010 vs Day

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Cummins 7.3
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Cummins 8.0
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2015UFC on Fox 15
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Cummins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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