UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Berry vs Lopez

1,634

CageRank

WINNER
Lopez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Lopez
WILL WIN

1,780

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Lopez
Much stronger jaw 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier 242 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Keith Berry
Much younger 30 years vs 44 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Lopez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Berry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Lopez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lopez has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lopez is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lopez is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Berry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lopez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keith
Berry
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Berry is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Berry is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Berry is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lopez 7.8
fighter Berry 7.2
Great knockouts by Lopez
Round 4 Dec 15, 2011 vs Jones
Round 2 Aug 14, 2010 vs Lambert
Round 1 Sep 15, 2007 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lopez 7.7
fighter Berry 6.5
Great submissions by Lopez
Round 3 Dec 24, 2011 vs Abdurakhimov
Round 1 Oct 28, 2011 vs Zabolotny
Round 1 Feb 16, 2011 vs Ryan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lopez 7.9
fighter Berry 7.7
Fast finishes by Lopez
714 seconds Dec 24, 2011 vs Abdurakhimov
245 seconds Oct 28, 2011 vs Zabolotny
219 seconds Feb 16, 2011 vs Ryan
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 27, 2009KOTC - Immortal
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR2 SUB
1,6331,882
1,6131,901
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lopez
legend Berry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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