UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Berry vs Martin

1,634

CageRank

WINNER
Martin

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Martin
WILL WIN

1,757

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Terry Martin
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Keith Berry
Much taller 185 cm vs 170 cm Around 10% taller
Longer reach 187 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Martin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Berry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Terry
Martin
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Martin Berry
Significant Strikes55
Martin's average striking offense may be a factor against Berry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Martin's average takedown offense is matched by Berry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Martin has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Martin is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Martin is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Berry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Martin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keith
Berry
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Berry Martin
Significant Strikes44
Berry's average striking offense is matched by Martin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Berry's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Martin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Berry has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Berry is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Berry is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Martin 8.5
fighter Berry 8.1
Great striking by Martin
35 strikes Sep 20, 2008 vs Devela
7 strikes May 26, 2007 vs Salaverry
4 strikes Feb 03, 2007 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Martin 8.7
fighter Berry 8.4
Great takedowns by Martin
3 takedowns Sep 20, 2008 vs Devela
1 takedown May 26, 2007 vs Salaverry

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Martin 8.2
fighter Berry 7.2
Great knockouts by Martin
Round 3 Sep 20, 2008 vs Devela
Round 1 May 26, 2007 vs Salaverry
Round 1 Feb 03, 2007 vs Rivera

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Martin 6.7
fighter Berry 6.5
Great submissions by Martin
Round 2 Dec 16, 2005 vs Fields
Round 2 Mar 17, 2005 vs Moore
Round 1 Oct 12, 2003 vs Franklin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Martin 8.1
fighter Berry 7.7
Fast finishes by Martin
728 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Devela
14 seconds Feb 03, 2007 vs Rivera
494 seconds Mar 17, 2005 vs Moore
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 12, 2006WEC 24
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,6261,840
1,6031,863
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Martin
legend Berry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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