UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Berry vs Casey

1,634

CageRank

WINNER
Casey

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Casey
WILL WIN

1,872

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kevin Casey
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Keith Berry
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Casey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Berry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Casey
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Casey Berry
Significant Strikes38
Casey's average striking offense may be a factor against Berry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Casey's average takedown offense is matched by Berry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Casey has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Casey is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Casey is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Berry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Casey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keith
Berry
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Berry Casey
Significant Strikes37
Berry's average striking offense is matched by Casey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Berry's average takedown offense is matched by Casey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Berry is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Berry is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Berry is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Casey 8.3
fighter Berry 7.2
Great knockouts by Casey
Round 1 Jun 06, 2014 vs Sanchez
Round 1 Jan 24, 2014 vs Mendez
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs Mancha

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Casey 7.3
fighter Berry 6.5
Great submissions by Casey
Round 1 Apr 15, 2012 vs Orr
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Vance
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Mills

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Casey 8.5
fighter Berry 7.7
Fast finishes by Casey
218 seconds Jan 24, 2014 vs Mendez
176 seconds Apr 15, 2012 vs Orr
267 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Mills
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 21, 2017Bellator 170
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Casey
legend Berry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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