UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Schambari

1,781

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Smith

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Smith
WILL WIN

1,701

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Smith
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly younger 28 years vs 39 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Eric Schambari
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better submission defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Schambari’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Smith
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Smith Schambari
Significant Strikes44
Smith's average striking offense is matched by Schambari's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Smith's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Schambari's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Schambari on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eric
Schambari
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Schambari Smith
Significant Strikes44
Schambari's average striking offense is matched by Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Schambari's average takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Schambari is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Schambari has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Schambari is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Smith 8.4
fighter Schambari 8.2
Great striking by Smith
12 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Sayers

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Smith 7.8
fighter Schambari 8.6
Great takedowns by Schambari
3 takedowns Aug 05, 2007 vs Clark

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smith 7.9
fighter Schambari 6.3
Great knockouts by Smith
Round 2 Jul 22, 2011 vs Lagman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smith 7.5
fighter Schambari 8.0
Great submissions by Schambari
Round 1 Apr 08, 2011 vs Aguilar
Round 1 Apr 29, 2010 vs Zachrich
Round 1 May 06, 2006 vs Francois

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smith 8.2
fighter Schambari 7.9
Fast finishes by Smith
232 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Sayers
106 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
386 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Parmelee
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,7471,940
1,8221,864
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smith
legend Schambari
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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