UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Sayers

1,781

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Smith

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Smith
WILL WIN

1,715

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Smith
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 28 years vs 38 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Lumumba Sayers
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sayers’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Smith
In 9:04, how much damage will he do? Smith Sayers
Significant Strikes37
Smith's average striking offense is matched by Sayers's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Smith's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sayers's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:04
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sayers on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lumumba
Sayers
In 9:04, how much damage will he do? Sayers Smith
Significant Strikes38
Sayers's average striking offense is matched by Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sayers's good takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:04
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sayers is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sayers has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Sayers is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Smith 8.4
fighter Sayers 8.4
Great striking by Smith
12 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Sayers

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Smith 7.8
fighter Sayers 8.8
Great takedowns by Sayers
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smith 7.9
fighter Sayers 7.1
Great knockouts by Smith
Round 2 Jul 22, 2011 vs Lagman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smith 7.5
fighter Sayers 7.8
Great submissions by Sayers
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Guthrie
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Berg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smith 8.2
fighter Sayers 8.4
Fast finishes by Sayers
94 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Smith
28 seconds Nov 18, 2011 vs Britt
76 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Guthrie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,8451,809
1,8901,765
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smith
legend Sayers
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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