UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Evans

1,781

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
93% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.8 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Anthony Smith
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 38 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 196 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 11:11, how much damage will he do? Evans Smith
Significant Strikes59
Evans's good striking offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Evans's good takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:11
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Smith
In 11:11, how much damage will he do? Smith Evans
Significant Strikes28
Smith's average striking offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:11
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Smith's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:11
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Smith 8.4
Great striking by Evans
20 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
39 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Henderson
29 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Smith 7.8
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Smith 7.9
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Smith 7.5
Great submissions by Smith
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Sayers
Round 1 Apr 15, 2011 vs Gabel
Round 2 Sep 20, 2008 vs Parmelee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Smith 8.2
Fast finishes by Evans
245 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
766 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
411 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 9, 2018UFC 225
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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