UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Braga Neto

1,781

CageRank

WINNER
Braga Neto

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Braga Neto
WILL WIN

1,831

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Braga Neto
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Anthony Smith
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Braga Neto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Braga Neto
In 10:06, how much damage will he do? Braga Neto Smith
Significant Strikes44
Braga Neto's average striking offense is matched by Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:06
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Braga Neto's good takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:06
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Braga Neto is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Braga Neto has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Braga Neto is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Braga Neto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Smith
In 10:06, how much damage will he do? Smith Braga Neto
Significant Strikes46
Smith's average striking offense is matched by Braga Neto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:06
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Smith's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Braga Neto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:06
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Braga Neto 8.4
fighter Smith 8.4
Great striking by Braga Neto
6 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Braga Neto 8.8
fighter Smith 7.8
Great takedowns by Braga Neto
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Braga Neto 6.7
fighter Smith 7.9
Great knockouts by Smith
Round 2 Jul 22, 2011 vs Lagman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Braga Neto 8.7
fighter Smith 7.5
Great submissions by Braga Neto
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 04, 2012 vs Larson
Round 2 Sep 14, 2011 vs Falcao

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Braga Neto 8.5
fighter Smith 8.2
Fast finishes by Braga Neto
112 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith
64 seconds Mar 04, 2012 vs Larson
566 seconds Sep 14, 2011 vs Falcao
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 8, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 10
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R1 KOX
1,8301,828
1,7801,878
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Braga Neto
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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