UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Forbes

1,781

CageRank

WINNER
Forbes

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Forbes
WILL WIN

1,838

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jesse Forbes
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Anthony Smith
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 196 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Forbes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Forbes
In 11:09, how much damage will he do? Forbes Smith
Significant Strikes46
Forbes's average striking offense is matched by Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Forbes's average takedown offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Forbes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Forbes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Forbes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Forbes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Smith
In 11:09, how much damage will he do? Smith Forbes
Significant Strikes58
Smith's average striking offense may be a factor against Forbes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:09
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Smith's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Forbes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:09
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Forbes 8.3
fighter Smith 8.4
Great striking by Smith
12 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Sayers

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Forbes 7.8
fighter Smith 7.9
Great knockouts by Smith
Round 2 Jul 22, 2011 vs Lagman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Forbes 7.6
fighter Smith 7.5
Great submissions by Forbes
Round 2 Dec 10, 2010 vs Guthrie
Round 1 Jun 27, 2009 vs Walker
Round 3 Feb 22, 2008 vs Camozzi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Forbes 8.2
fighter Smith 8.2
Fast finishes by Forbes
417 seconds Dec 10, 2010 vs Guthrie
705 seconds Feb 22, 2008 vs Camozzi
98 seconds Jan 08, 2008 vs Moreno
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 11, 2010Crowbar MMA - Fall Brawl
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 KO
1,6681,756
1,6301,794
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Forbes
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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