UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Gabel

1,781

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Smith

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Smith
WILL WIN

1,634

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Smith
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Matt Gabel
Slightly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gabel’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Smith
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gabel on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Gabel
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gabel is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gabel has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gabel is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smith 7.9
fighter Gabel 7.2
Great knockouts by Smith
Round 2 Jul 22, 2011 vs Lagman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smith 7.5
fighter Gabel 7.6
Great submissions by Gabel
Round 1 Oct 20, 2012 vs Kennedy
Round 1 Mar 11, 2011 vs Kennedy
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Bradley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smith 8.2
fighter Gabel 8.1
Fast finishes by Smith
232 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Sayers
106 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Schambari
386 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Parmelee
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,6981,687
1,7471,639
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smith
legend Gabel
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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