UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Healy vs Daley

1,925

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.6 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 170 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Pat Healy
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Healy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 13:05, how much damage will he do? Daley Healy
Significant Strikes66
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Healy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 118 Significant Strikes in 13:05
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Healy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:05
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Healy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pat
Healy
In 13:05, how much damage will he do? Healy Daley
Significant Strikes52
Healy's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 118 Significant Strikes in 13:05
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Healy's good takedown offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:05
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Healy is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Healy is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Healy has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Healy 8.4
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Healy 8.8
Great takedowns by Healy
4 takedowns Jul 14, 2012 vs Hirota
3 takedowns Aug 12, 2011 vs Wisely
1 takedown Feb 18, 2011 vs Beerbohm

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Healy 6.6
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Healy 7.8
Great submissions by Healy
Round 3 Mar 03, 2012 vs Fodor
Round 2 Sep 10, 2011 vs Blanco
Round 3 Jun 03, 2006 vs Condit

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Healy 7.4
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR1 KO
1,5951,653
1,6531,594
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Healy
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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