UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Green vs Masvidal

2,156

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Green

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Green
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bobby Green
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Green on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bobby
Green
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Green Masvidal
Significant Strikes73
Green's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Green's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Green is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Green has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Green has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Green’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Green
Significant Strikes82
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Green's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Green's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Green 8.8
fighter Masvidal 8.8
Great striking by Green
80 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Healy
20 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Krause
54 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Volkmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Green 8.5
fighter Masvidal 8.7
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Green 7.7
fighter Masvidal 7.5
Great knockouts by Green
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Krause
Round 1 Feb 25, 2010 vs Legere Jr.
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Magakian

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Green 8.0
fighter Masvidal 6.9
Great submissions by Green
Round 3 Feb 02, 2013 vs Volkmann
Round 3 Nov 18, 2011 vs Reese
Round 2 Aug 13, 2010 vs Cruickshank

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Green 8.0
fighter Masvidal 7.6
Fast finishes by Green
230 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Krause
865 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Volkmann
267 seconds Feb 25, 2010 vs Legere Jr.
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Green
legend Masvidal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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