UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fodor vs Wilcox

1,809

CageRank

WINNER
Wilcox

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Wilcox
WILL WIN

1,970

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Wilcox
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Caros Fodor
Much longer reach 183 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Wilcox on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fodor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Wilcox
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Wilcox Fodor
Significant Strikes70
Wilcox's average striking offense is matched by Fodor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Wilcox's average takedown offense is matched by Fodor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wilcox is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wilcox is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Wilcox has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Fodor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wilcox’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Caros
Fodor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fodor Wilcox
Significant Strikes66
Fodor's average striking offense is matched by Wilcox's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Fodor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Wilcox's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fodor is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Fodor is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fodor is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Wilcox 8.5
fighter Fodor 8.4
Great striking by Wilcox
21 strikes Apr 01, 2011 vs Damm

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Wilcox 7.0
fighter Fodor 6.9
Great knockouts by Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 01, 2011 vs Damm
Round 3 Aug 18, 2007 vs Murphey

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Wilcox 7.3
fighter Fodor 7.5
Great submissions by Fodor
Round 1 Mar 21, 2009 vs Macintosh
Round 1 Aug 23, 2008 vs Washington
Round 1 Dec 02, 2006 vs Washington

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Wilcox 7.1
fighter Fodor 7.9
Fast finishes by Fodor
13 seconds Dec 17, 2011 vs Wilcox
732 seconds Apr 01, 2011 vs Douglas
39 seconds Aug 23, 2008 vs Washington
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
1,8511,996
1,9211,927
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Wilcox
legend Fodor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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