UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Villante vs Rua

1,854

CageRank

WINNER
Rua

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Rua
WILL WIN

2,020

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Gian Villante
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Villante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
In 9:47, how much damage will he do? Rua Villante
Significant Strikes70
Rua's excellent striking offense will dominate Villante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:47
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rua's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Villante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Villante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gian
Villante
In 9:47, how much damage will he do? Villante Rua
Significant Strikes33
Villante's good striking offense won't be a factor against Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:47
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Villante's average takedown offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Villante is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Villante is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Villante is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Villante 8.8
Great striking by Rua
16 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
17 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Machida
48 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rua 8.3
fighter Villante 8.2
Great takedowns by Rua
8 takedowns Dec 31, 2006 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Jun 26, 2005 vs Rogerio Nogueira
1 takedown Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Villante 7.9
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rua 6.5
fighter Villante 6.8
Great submissions by Villante
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Cook
Round 1 Apr 17, 2009 vs White

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rua 8.8
fighter Villante 8.0
Fast finishes by Rua
113 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
215 seconds May 08, 2010 vs Machida
268 seconds Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 11, 2017UFC Fight Night 106
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rua
legend Villante
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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