UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Villante vs Smith

1,854

CageRank

WINNER
Smith

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Smith
WILL WIN

1,866

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Trevor Smith
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Gian Villante
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Villante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Trevor
Smith
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Smith Villante
Significant Strikes92
Smith's good striking offense may be a factor against Villante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Smith's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Villante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Villante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gian
Villante
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Villante Smith
Significant Strikes86
Villante's good striking offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Villante's average takedown offense is matched by Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Villante has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Villante is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Villante is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Smith 8.7
fighter Villante 8.8
Great striking by Villante
43 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Donovan
68 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Mehmen
18 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Smith

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Smith 8.3
fighter Villante 8.2
Great takedowns by Smith
1 takedown Jan 15, 2014 vs Houston

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smith 6.5
fighter Villante 7.9
Great knockouts by Villante
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Donovan
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Smith
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Donald Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smith 8.2
fighter Villante 6.8
Great submissions by Smith
Round 1 Jun 16, 2012 vs Moreno
Round 1 Nov 18, 2011 vs Cook
Round 2 Jun 24, 2011 vs Berry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smith 8.1
fighter Villante 8.0
Fast finishes by Smith
261 seconds Jun 16, 2012 vs Moreno
268 seconds Nov 18, 2011 vs Cook
142 seconds Jul 31, 2010 vs Kovacs
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,7071,850
1,7771,781
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smith
legend Villante
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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