UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mehmen vs Villante

1,934

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mehmen

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Mehmen
WILL WIN

1,854

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Derrick Mehmen
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 236 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Gian Villante
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Mehmen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Villante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Mehmen
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mehmen Villante
Significant Strikes79
Mehmen's average striking offense may be a factor against Villante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mehmen's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Villante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mehmen is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mehmen is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mehmen has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Villante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mehmen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gian
Villante
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Villante Mehmen
Significant Strikes83
Villante's good striking offense may be a factor against Mehmen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Villante's average takedown offense is matched by Mehmen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Villante is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Villante is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Villante is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mehmen 8.3
fighter Villante 8.8
Great striking by Villante
43 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Donovan
68 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Mehmen
18 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mehmen 7.8
fighter Villante 7.9
Great knockouts by Villante
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Donovan
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Smith
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Donald Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mehmen 6.4
fighter Villante 6.8
Great submissions by Villante
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Cook
Round 1 Apr 17, 2009 vs White

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mehmen 7.8
fighter Villante 8.0
Fast finishes by Villante
382 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Donovan
65 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Smith
239 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Donald Pereira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,7531,777
1,7061,823
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mehmen
legend Villante
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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