UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kedzie vs Evinger

1,563

CageRank

WINNER
Evinger

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Evinger
WILL WIN

1,801

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tonya Evinger
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 6.4 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.1 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 170 cm vs 164 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Julie Kedzie
Significantly better striker 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Evinger on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Kedzie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tonya
Evinger
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Evinger Kedzie
Significant Strikes56
Evinger's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Kedzie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Evinger's average takedown offense is matched by Kedzie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evinger is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evinger is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Evinger has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kedzie on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Evinger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Julie
Kedzie
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Kedzie Evinger
Significant Strikes57
Kedzie's average striking offense is matched by Evinger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Kedzie's average takedown offense is matched by Evinger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kedzie is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kedzie is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kedzie is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evinger 7.3
fighter Kedzie 6.4
Great knockouts by Evinger
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Jackson
Round 2 Jul 17, 2010 vs Jenkins
Round 2 Mar 17, 2007 vs Plagmann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evinger 7.2
fighter Kedzie 6.1
Great submissions by Evinger
Round 1 Sep 23, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Jan 25, 2008 vs Kedzie
Round 1 Oct 27, 2006 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evinger 7.8
fighter Kedzie 6.4
Fast finishes by Evinger
117 seconds Sep 23, 2011 vs Rodriguez
496 seconds Jul 17, 2010 vs Jenkins
103 seconds Jan 25, 2008 vs Kedzie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
1,7441,643
1,6801,707
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evinger
legend Kedzie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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