UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - de Randamie vs Rousey

1,638

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
93% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 7.1 Around 40% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.7 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Germaine de Randamie
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against de Randamie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 1:53, how much damage will she do? Rousey de Randamie
Significant Strikes8
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by de Randamie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 17 Significant Strikes in 1:53
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate de Randamie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:53
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
de Randamie on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Germaine
de Randamie
In 1:53, how much damage will she do? de Randamie Rousey
Significant Strikes8
de Randamie's average striking offense is matched by Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 17 Significant Strikes in 1:53
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
de Randamie's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:53
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
de Randamie is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
de Randamie is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
de Randamie is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter de Randamie 8.2
Great striking by Rousey
40 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
3 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
8 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter de Randamie 7.8
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter de Randamie 7.2
Great knockouts by Rousey
Round 1 Aug 01, 2015 vs Correia
Round 1 Jul 05, 2014 vs Davis
Round 1 Feb 22, 2014 vs McMann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter de Randamie 6.7
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter de Randamie 7.1
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend de Randamie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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