UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - de Randamie vs Pennington

1,638

CageRank

WINNER
Pennington

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Pennington
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raquel Pennington
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Germaine de Randamie
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Pennington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against de Randamie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raquel
Pennington
In 10:59, how much damage will he do? Pennington de Randamie
Significant Strikes46
Pennington's average striking offense is matched by de Randamie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:59
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Pennington's average takedown offense is matched by de Randamie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pennington is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Pennington has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Pennington has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
de Randamie on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Pennington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Germaine
de Randamie
In 10:59, how much damage will she do? de Randamie Pennington
Significant Strikes44
de Randamie's average striking offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:59
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
de Randamie's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:59
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
de Randamie is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
de Randamie is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
de Randamie has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pennington 8.5
fighter de Randamie 8.2
Great striking by Pennington
80 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Modafferi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pennington 8.5
fighter de Randamie 7.8
Great takedowns by Pennington
1 takedown Nov 30, 2013 vs Modafferi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pennington 6.5
fighter de Randamie 7.2
Great knockouts by de Randamie
Round 1 May 08, 2016 vs Elmose
Round 2 Mar 14, 2015 vs Pacheco
Round 1 Jan 29, 2011 vs Webber

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pennington 7.3
fighter de Randamie 6.7
Great submissions by Pennington
Round 2 Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
Round 1 Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Round 1 Jun 20, 2009 vs Hampton

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pennington 7.3
fighter de Randamie 7.1
Fast finishes by Pennington
232 seconds Sep 08, 2012 vs Pa'aluhi
419 seconds Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
104 seconds Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pennington
legend de Randamie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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