UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Bocek

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

1,981

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Bocek
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bocek’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Bocek
Significant Strikes70
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Bocek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bocek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bocek on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Bocek
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bocek Henderson
Significant Strikes31
Bocek's average striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Bocek's excellent takedown offense will dominate Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bocek is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bocek has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bocek has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Bocek 8.3
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Bocek 9.2
Great takedowns by Bocek
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Alessio
5 takedowns Dec 10, 2011 vs Lentz
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Hazelett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Bocek 6.7
Great knockouts by Henderson
Round 2 Aug 26, 2016 vs Freire
Round 1 Apr 05, 2009 vs Roller
Round 1 Feb 16, 2007 vs Williams

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Bocek 8.2
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Bocek 8.0
Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
761 seconds Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
342 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 30, 2011UFC 129
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 SUBX
1,9521,907
1,9961,864
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Bocek
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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