UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Johnson

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
81% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,023

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Michael Johnson
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 187 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Johnson
Significant Strikes82
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Henderson
Significant Strikes39
Johnson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Johnson 8.6
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Johnson 7.8
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Johnson 8.3
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tibau
Round 2 Oct 05, 2012 vs Castillo
Round 1 Oct 03, 2009 vs Derrow

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Johnson 6.6
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Johnson 8.0
Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
761 seconds Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
342 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Johnson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus