UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs St. Pierre

2,280

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.7 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Henderson
Significant Strikes61
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson St. Pierre
Significant Strikes47
Henderson's excellent striking offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Henderson 8.7
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Henderson 6.8
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Henderson 8.3
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Henderson 8.1
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Henderson
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
St. Pierre vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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