UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Grant

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly better submission offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Grant
Significant Strikes92
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grant Henderson
Significant Strikes56
Grant's excellent striking offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grant's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Grant 9.1
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Grant 8.1
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Grant 7.7
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Grant 8.2
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Grant 8.3
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Grant
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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