UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Freire

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

1,946

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Patricky Freire
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Freire’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Freire on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Patricky
Freire
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Freire has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Freire is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Freire is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Freire 8.8
Great knockouts by Freire
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Pellegrino
Round 1 Apr 02, 2011 vs Imada
Round 3 Mar 12, 2011 vs McCullough

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Freire 6.6
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Freire 8.3
Fast finishes by Freire
50 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Pellegrino
173 seconds Apr 02, 2011 vs Imada
791 seconds Mar 12, 2011 vs McCullough
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Freire
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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