UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Edgar

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,131

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Edgar
Significant Strikes70
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Henderson
Significant Strikes54
Edgar's excellent striking offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Edgar's good takedown offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Edgar 9.1
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Edgar 9.0
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Edgar 7.7
Great knockouts by Edgar
Round 4 Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jul 07, 2007 vs Bocek
Round 1 Jul 10, 2005 vs Uresk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Edgar 7.2
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Edgar 7.5
Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
761 seconds Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
342 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 11, 2012UFC 150
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,1812,127
2,2232,085
February 26, 2012UFC 144
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XDEC
2,1212,187
2,1812,127
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Edgar
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Edgar vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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