UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Alves

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,049

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Thiago Alves
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Alves
Significant Strikes81
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Alves
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Alves Henderson
Significant Strikes52
Alves's excellent striking offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Alves's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alves is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alves is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Alves 9.0
Great striking by Alves
80 strikes Oct 25, 2008 vs Koscheck
10 strikes Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
17 strikes Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Alves 7.9
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Alves 8.0
Great knockouts by Alves
Round 2 Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
Round 2 Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Lytle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Alves 6.9
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Alves 8.3
Fast finishes by Alves
362 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
334 seconds Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan
145 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Chalangov
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Alves
Read More
Henderson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Alves vs Lawler
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus