Benson Henderson Smooth 24-8

Weight 155 lbs
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70"
Age 33

Diego Saraiva 22-19-1 The Octopus

149 lbs
5' 6"
66"
35

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Saraiva

CageRank

WINNER

96% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Benson Henderson

Much harder to hit	9.6	vs	8.3	Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier	155 lbs	vs	149 lbs	Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker	9.0	vs	8.1	More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller	175 cm	vs	168 cm	Around 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense	8.8	vs	8.2	Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach	178 cm	vs	168 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes	8.1	vs	7.3	More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense	8.7	vs	8.2	More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense	8.3	vs	7.7	Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands	6.8	vs	6.5	More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw	9.1	vs	8.9	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger	33 years	vs	35 years	More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Advantages for Diego Saraiva

Better submission defense

9.6

9.1

More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap

Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saraiva’s defensive skills

Predictions For Benson Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Henderson		Saraiva
Significant Strikes92 Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Saraiva's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4 Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Saraiva's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout	Below average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Henderson has a very good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Below average Scoring ability

Saraiva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills

Predictions For Diego Saraiva
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Saraiva		Henderson
Significant Strikes27 Saraiva's average striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Saraiva's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Saraiva is unlikely to win by knockout	Weak Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Saraiva is unlikely to win by submission	Good Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Saraiva is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability