UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Saraiva

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
96% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

1,748

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 149 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Diego Saraiva
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saraiva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Saraiva
Significant Strikes92
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Saraiva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Saraiva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Saraiva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Saraiva
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saraiva Henderson
Significant Strikes27
Saraiva's average striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Saraiva's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saraiva is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saraiva is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saraiva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Saraiva 8.1
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Saraiva 8.2
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Saraiva 6.5
Great knockouts by Henderson
Round 2 Aug 26, 2016 vs Freire
Round 1 Apr 05, 2009 vs Roller
Round 1 Feb 16, 2007 vs Williams

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Saraiva 7.7
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Saraiva 7.3
Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
761 seconds Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
342 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,7251,716
1,7731,667
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Saraiva
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus