CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Henderson vs Saraiva
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit | 9.6 | vs | 8.3 | Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Much heavier | 155 lbs | vs | 149 lbs | Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Better striker | 9.0 | vs | 8.1 | More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
A lot taller | 175 cm | vs | 168 cm | Around 5% taller |
Significantly better takedown defense | 8.8 | vs | 8.2 | Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly fast finishes | 8.1 | vs | 7.3 | More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Significantly longer reach | 178 cm | vs | 168 cm | More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 8.7 | vs | 8.2 | More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Better submission offense | 8.3 | vs | 7.7 | Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Heavier hands | 6.8 | vs | 6.5 | More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
Stronger jaw | 9.1 | vs | 8.9 | Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Younger | 34 years | vs | 36 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Advantages for Diego Saraiva
Better submission defense | 9.6 | vs | 9.1 | More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Henderson on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saraiva’s defensive skills
Predictions For Benson Henderson |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Henderson | Saraiva | |
Significant Strikes92
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Saraiva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns4
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Saraiva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout |
Below average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Henderson has a very good chance of winning by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
Saraiva on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For Diego Saraiva |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Saraiva | Henderson | |
Significant Strikes27
Saraiva's average striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Saraiva's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Saraiva is unlikely to win by knockout |
Weak
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Saraiva is unlikely to win by submission |
Good
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Saraiva is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes | Apr 20, 2013 | vs Melendez |
87 strikes | Feb 26, 2012 | vs Edgar |
65 strikes | Aug 14, 2011 | vs Miller |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Henderson
Round 1 | Apr 05, 2009 | vs Roller |
Round 1 | Jun 23, 2007 | vs Dagloria |
Round 1 | Nov 18, 2006 | vs Gregary |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 | Apr 24, 2010 | vs Cerrone |
Round 3 | Jan 10, 2010 | vs Varner |
Round 2 | Jan 25, 2009 | vs Njokuani |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds | Apr 24, 2010 | vs Cerrone |
761 seconds | Jan 10, 2010 | vs Varner |
342 seconds | Jan 25, 2009 | vs Njokuani |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?