UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Barboza

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,053

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.8 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Barboza
Significant Strikes92
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barboza Henderson
Significant Strikes56
Barboza's excellent striking offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Barboza 9.1
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Barboza 7.6
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Barboza 9.1
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Barboza 6.7
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Barboza 8.7
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Barboza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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