UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Cerrone

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Cerrone
Significant Strikes90
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Henderson
Significant Strikes52
Cerrone's excellent striking offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Cerrone 9.0
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Cerrone 8.0
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Cerrone 8.0
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Cerrone 8.7
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Cerrone 9.2
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 18, 2015UFC Fight Night 59
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
April 24, 2010WEC 48
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,9811,882
2,0171,846
October 10, 2009WEC 43
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,8611,895
1,9161,840
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Cerrone
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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