UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Masvidal

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Masvidal
Significant Strikes77
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Henderson
Significant Strikes44
Masvidal's good striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Masvidal 8.8
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Masvidal 8.7
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Masvidal 7.5
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Masvidal 6.9
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Masvidal 7.6
Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
761 seconds Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
342 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 28, 2015UFC Fight Night 79
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Masvidal
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Masvidal vs Thompson
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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