UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Barao

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,194

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Renan Barao
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Barao
Significant Strikes74
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Barao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renan
Barao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barao Henderson
Significant Strikes47
Barao's good striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Barao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barao is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barao is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Barao 8.9
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Barao 8.0
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Barao 7.7
Great knockouts by Barao
Round 2 Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
Round 2 Aug 13, 2009 vs Sardinha
Round 3 Nov 29, 2008 vs Pinheiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Barao 8.5
Great submissions by Barao
Round 4 Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Cariaso

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Barao 8.6
Fast finishes by Barao
335 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
1137 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
249 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Barao
Read More
Henderson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Barao vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus