UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Nurmagomedov

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes73
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Henderson
Significant Strikes41
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense is matched by Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Nurmagomedov
Read More
Henderson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Nurmagomedov vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Khabib is an excellent fighter,i thing he is the next to take a tittle shot...!!
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