UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Maestas

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
95% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

1,767

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Mike Maestas
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maestas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maestas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Maestas
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maestas is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maestas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maestas is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Maestas 7.3
Great knockouts by Maestas
Round 1 Apr 07, 2007 vs Hernandez
Round 1 Aug 19, 2006 vs Herrera
Round 1 Feb 18, 2006 vs Borrego

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Maestas 7.1
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Maestas 7.6
Fast finishes by Henderson
117 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
761 seconds Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
342 seconds Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 9, 2008MFC 16
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,6071,745
1,6751,676
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Maestas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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