UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs McGregor

2,280

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,038

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 6.8 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson McGregor
Significant Strikes88
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGregor Henderson
Significant Strikes41
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Henderson
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Cerrone
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Varner
Round 2 Jan 25, 2009 vs Njokuani

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend McGregor
Read More
Henderson vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus